Contact Amir Shabbar:

Phone & Address


Member, Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society

Member, American Geophysical Union


M.Sc. Meteorology, University of Toronto

B.Sc. (Hons.) Physics and Applied Mathematics, University of Toronto

The 2006 Andrew Thomson Prize in Applied Meteorology awarded by the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society


Amir Shabbar

Senior Research Meteorologist - Research on atmospheric and oceanic circulation, and statistical seasonal forecasts

CURRENT S&T / RESEARCH - Conducts research in the areas of global atmospheric and oceanic circulation diagnostics, climate prediction models and their forecast skill evaluation, teleconnection and analysis of climate trends and variability

  • Teleconnection study of El Niño-Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation related to Canadian climate
  • Global atmospheric and oceanic circulation diagnostics, exchange of energy at ocean-atmosphere interface
  • Development of empirical long-range forecasting models and their skill evaluation, statistical techniques combining numerical and statistical predictions for optimal forecast skill for Canada


Provide expertise on large-scale atmospheric and oceanic teleconnections (e.g., El Nino-Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation) and their impact on the Canadian climate extremes. Development of Environment Canada El Niño and La Niña web sites

Collaboration with Canadian universities (e.g., University of British Columbia, University of Manitoba) and international scientists (e.g., NOAA) to advance research in climate variability and climate trend

Member of the seasonal forecast forum. Scientific reviewer of journal papers


Shabbar, A., and B. Yu, 2012. Intraseasonal Canadian winter temperature responses to interannual and interdecadal Pacific SST modulations. Atmos-Ocean, 50:109-121.

Shabbar, A., and H. Zhao, 2011. Contribution of late spring Eurasian snow cover extent to Canadian winter temperatures. Int. J. Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.2426.

Shabbar, A., B.R. Bonsal, and K. Szeto, 2011. Atmospheric and oceanic variability associated with growing season drought and pluvials on the Canadian prairies. Atmos-Ocean, 49 339-355.

Shabbar, A., W. Skinner, and M.D. Flannigan, 2011. Prediction of seasonal forest fire severity in Canada from large-scale climate patterns. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 50, 785-799, doi:10.1175/2010JAMC2547.1

Zeng, Z., W.W. Hsieh, W.R. Burrows, A. Giles and A. Shabbar. 2011. Surface wind speed prediction in the Canadian Arctic using non-linear machine learning methods. Atmos-Ocean, 49 22-31. doi:10.1080/07055900.2010.549102.

Zeng, Z., W.W. Hsieh, A. Shabbar, and W.R. Burrows. 2011. Seasonal prediction of winter extreme precipitation over Canada by support vector regression. Hydro.Earth Sys. Sci., 15,65-74. doi:10.5194/hess-15-65-2011.

Shabbar, A., and B. Yu. 2009. The 1998–2000 La Niña in the context of historically strong La Niña events. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D13105,doi:10.1029/2008JD011185.

Yu, B., A. Shabbar and F.W. Zwiers. 2007. The Enhanced PNA-like Climate Response to Pacific Interannual and Decadal Variability. J. Climate. 20:5285-5300.

Shabbar, A. and V. Kharin. 2007. An assessment of cross-validation for estimating skill of empirical seasonal forecasts using a global coupled model simulation. CLIVAR Exchanges. 12(4):10-12.

Skinner, W.R., A. Shabbar, M.D. Flannigan and K. Logan. 2006. Large Forest Fires in Canada and the relationship to Global Sea Surface Temperatures. J. Geophys. Res. 111:doi:10.1029/2005JD006738

van den Dool, H.M., P. Peng, A. Johansson, M. Chelliah, A. Shabbar and S. Saha. 2006. Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictability and Prediction of North American Climate - The North Atlantic Influence. J. Climate. 19:6005-6024.

Shabbar, A. 2006. The Impact of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on the Canadian Climate. Advances in Geosciences. 6:149-153.

Shabbar, A. and W. Skinner. 2004. Summer drought patterns in Canada and the relationship to global sea surface temperatures. J. Climate. 17:2866-2880.

Expertise Categories associated with this S&T Expert:

     Climate Change and Processes
          Trends and variability
     Climate Modelling
Weather & Meteorology
          Atmospheric circulation