Final Report
November 2010
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An evaluation of the Improved Climate Change Scenarios Program was conducted in 2009‑2010 by Environment Canada's Evaluation Division, Audit and Evaluation Branch (AEB). This program was identified for evaluation as part of AEB's Three-Year Risk-Based Audit and Evaluation Plan for 2009‑2012, approved by the Departmental Evaluation Committee (DEC) on May 22, 2009.
The objective of this evaluation was to assess the Program's relevance and performance, covering a three-year time frame from 2007‑2008 to 2009‑2010. This evaluation was conducted to meet the information requirements of senior management and to fulfil Treasury Board Secretariat requirements. Results from this program evaluation will also contribute to the evaluation of the Adaptation Theme of the Clean Air Agenda (CAA). The Improved Climate Change Scenarios Program is one of seven programs included in the CAA Adaptation Theme.[1] Evaluations of each of these seven programs, including the Improved Climate Change Scenarios Program, will be rolled up to provide an Adaptation-Theme-level assessment of federal efforts related to adaptation to the impacts of climate change. This theme-level assessment is required to inform decision making at the CAA level.
This document presents the findings and recommendations of the Evaluation of the Improved Climate Change Scenarios Program and is organized in the following way. Section 2.0 provides background information on the Program. Section 3.0 presents the evaluation design, including the purpose and scope of the evaluation, as well as the methods used to conduct the evaluation. Section 4.0 presents the evaluation's findings. Section 5.0 and 6.0 lay out, respectively, the conclusions and recommendations. The management response is presented in Section 7.0.
[1] In addition to the Improved Climate Change Scenarios Program, the other programs under the Adaptation Theme include: Assist Northerners in Assessing Key Vulnerabilities and Opportunities – Climate Change (INAC), National Air Quality and Health Index (NAQHI) and Forecast Program (EC and HC), Climate Change and Health Adaptation in Northern and Inuit Communities (HC), Innovative Risk Management Tool (NRCan), Regional Adaptation Action Partnerships (NRCan) and Climate and Infectious Disease Alert and Response System to Protect the Health of Canadians (HC and PHAC).