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Evaluation of the Improved Climate Change Scenarios Program

Final Report
November 2010

Table of Contents

• Report Clearance Steps
• Abbreviations Used in the Report
• Acknowledgments
• Executive Summary
• 1.0 Introduction
• 2.0 Background and Context
  • 2.1 Program Profile
    • 2.1.1 Enhancement and Operation of Global and Regional Climate Models
    • 2.1.2 Development of the Canadian Climate Change Scenarios Network
    • 2.1.3 Specialized Information on Climate Extremes and Related Hazards
  • 2.2 Stakeholders and Partners
  • 2.3 Governance
    • 2.3.1 Program Organizational Structure
    • 2.3.2 Interdepartmental Governance of the Clean Air Agenda
  • 2.4 Resource Allocation
  • 2.5 Program Logic Model
• 3.0 Evaluation Design
  • 3.1 Purpose and Scope
  • 3.2 Evaluation Approach and Methodology
  • 3.3 Limitations and Challenges
• 4.0 Findings
  • 4.1 Relevance
    • 4.1.1 Issue 1: Continued Need for the Program
    • 4.1.2 Issue 2: Alignment with Government Priorities
    • 4.1.3 Issue 3: Alignment with Federal Roles and Responsibilities
  • 4.2 Performance
    • 4.2.1 Achievement of Expected Outputs and Outcomes
    • 4.2.2 Implementation of the Program
    • 4.2.3 Demonstration of Efficiency and Economy
• 5.0 Conclusions
• 6.0 Recommendations
• 7.0 Management Response
• Annex 1 Adaptation Theme Logic Model
• Annex 2 Evaluation Issues and Questions
• Annex 3 List of Background Information and Supporting Documentation
• Annex 4 Summary of Findings

Report Clearance Steps

Top of Page

Abbreviations Used in the Report

ADM

Assistant Deputy Minister

AEB

Audit and Evaluation Branch

AIRD

Adaptation and Impacts Research Division

AIRG

Adaptation and Impacts Research Group

AIRS

Adaptation and Impacts Research Section

ASTD

Atmospheric Science and Technology Directorate

CA

Conservation Authorities

CAA

Clean Air Agenda

CanESM1

Canadian Earth System Model

CanESM2

Canada's new Earth System Model

CCBFC

Canadian Commission on Building and Fire Codes

CCC

Canadian Climate Centre

CCCma

Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis

CCCSN

Canadian Climate Change Scenarios Network

CCIS

Climate Change Interim Strategy

CESD

Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Development

CFCAS

Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences

CMOC

Canadian Model of Ocean Carbon

CRCMD

Canadian Network for Regional Climate Modelling and Diagnostics

CRD

Climate Research Division

C-SPARC

Canadian Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate

CSA

Canadian Standards Association

CSRIs

Codes, Standards and Risk Instruments

CTEM

Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model

CWA

Canadian Wildlife Association

DEC

Departmental Evaluation Committee

DFAIT

Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade

DFO

Department of Fisheries and Oceans

DG

Director General

DGMC

Director General Management Committee

DGTLCC

Director General Theme Leads Coordinating Committee

DPR

Departmental Performance Report

EC

Environment Canada

FTE

Full Time Equivalent

GCM

global climate model

GHG

greenhouse gas

GOAPP

Global Ocean- Atmosphere Prediction and Predictability

HC

Health Canada

HMARF

Horizontal Management Accountability and Reporting Framework

INAC

Indian and Northern Affairs Canada

IPCC

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

MOU

Memorandum of Understanding

MSC

Meteorological Service of Canada

NAQHI

National Air Quality and Health Index

NARCCAP

North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program

NBCC

National Building Code of Canada

NCR

National Capital Region

NRC

National Research Council

NRCan

Natural Resources Canada

NRTEE

National Roundtable on the Environment and the Economy

NSERC

National Sciences and Engineering Research Council

OCCIAR

Ontario Centre for Climate Impacts and Adaptation Resources

OPG

Outcome Project Group

OPP

Outcome Project Plan

PAA

Program Activity Architecture

PC

Parks Canada

PCIC

Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium

PHAC

Public Health Agency of Canada

PiP

Projections in Practice Program

RCMs

regional climate models

RPPs

Reports on Plans and Priorities

TAC

Transportation Association of Canada

TC

Transport Canada

TRCA

Toronto Region Conservation Authority

TUCCN

Toronto Urban Climate Change Network

UNESCO

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization

UNFCCC

UN Framework Convention on Climate Change

WCRP

World Climate Research Program

Acknowledgments

The Evaluation Project Team would like to thank those individuals who contributed to this project, particularly members of the Evaluation Committee as well as all interviewees who provided insights and comments crucial to this evaluation.

The Evaluation Project Team was led by Linda Lee, under the direction of the Environment Canada Evaluation Director, Shelley Borys, and included Lindsay Fitzpatrick, Karine Kisilenko, Gavin Lemieux, Katheryne O'Connor, Valeria Pandelieva and Shelley Tice.

Prepared by the Evaluation Division, Audit and Evaluation Branch